Tag BTC

FOMC Week Lock In The Volatility

Weekly Crypto Market Research and Trade Ideas 9/12 – 9/19 Summary: If Bitcoin reclaims $27,500, we would change our outlook from sideways consolidation to cautiously bullish. $25,000 has proven to be a solid level of support in the short term…

ARK ETF Postponed By The SEC

Abstract The SEC’s delay in approving the Bitcoin ETF was to be expected; a conservative estimate suggests that it may still take 6-8 months for the Bitcoin ETF to be approved. Inflation and the Federal Reserve are no longer the…

Extreme Low Volatility Environment

Abstract We believe that Bitcoin may not immediately experience an independent bull market due to a downgrade in the US government’s rating. In the future, Bitcoin’s safe-haven properties are expected to become more pronounced. ETFs could also serve as a…

Crypto Compression

As the market gradually digests the news of a Bitcoin ETF, the bullish sentiment for Bitcoin is gradually fading. Japan’s “Yield Curve Control (YCC) program” will have a direct impact on global liquidity, leading to amplified volatility in crypto assets.…

XRP Lawsuit Effects On The Market

Abstract Strong macroeconomic fundamentals provide some support for a more aggressive path of interest rate hikes, which strengthens the short-term upward momentum of Bitcoin. The impact of the Federal Reserve on the cryptocurrency market is expected to gradually diminish, and…

When Will Bitcoin Break Out of Its Range?

Abstract Strong macroeconomic fundamentals provide some support for a more aggressive path of interest rate hikes, which strengthens the short-term upward momentum of Bitcoin. The impact of the Federal Reserve on the cryptocurrency market is expected to gradually diminish, and…

Coincidence or Planned Attack?

Abstract See 3 different strategies to generate +10% crypto-based returns in our newly posted video. Link. The previous high-pressure regulation in the market was speculated to be more like clearing obstacles for Wall Street’s own cryptocurrency platforms. We believe that…

The Bottom-Fishing Strategy

Abstract The Federal Reserve meeting has signaled an upward adjustment in the interest rate target, indicating the likelihood of at least two more rate hikes and no rate cuts for at least two years. Faced with regulatory crises and liquidity…

Can Bitcoin Breakthrough $30,000?

Pionex Research  05.08 – 05.15 Abstract Bank failures and Trade-Fi black swan events present short-term opportunities for cryptocurrencies. The long-term prospects of cryptocurrencies rely on strong economic fundamentals and purchasing power, and we need to see changes in liquidity in…

Notes From The Trading Desk #7

Pionex Trading Desk 4/24/2023 Thoughts After the ETH Shanghai upgrade, the options market on ETH has completely reversed itself. There is now a great demand for downside protection, as exemplified in the negative skew for both 25 and 5 delta…

Notes From The Trading Desk #6

Pionex Trading Desk 4/5/2023 Thoughts It is a tough time to make money, with BTC wedged in such a tight range and ETH showing a bit of outperformance in the past 2 days. Q2 might result in a quarter focused…

Bitcoin a Bright Spot in Chaos

Major event warning 3-30 Thursday ⭑⭑ Jobless claims ⭑⭑ US GDP ⭑⭑⭑ Treasury Secretary Yellen speaks ⭑⭑⭑ China Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMI 3-31 Friday ⭑⭑ Fed William’s Speak ⭑⭑ Chicago PMI ⭑⭑⭑ EUR CPI inflation numbers (Mar) ⭑⭑ PCE inflation…

Notes from the Trading Desk #5

Pionex Trading Desk 3/20/2023 Events 3/22/2023 FOMC rate decision + Interest rate projections 2:00 Powell press conference 2:30 3/23/2023 Initial jobless claims 8:30  New home sales 10:00 3/24/2030 Durable goods orders 8:30 Fed Member Bullard speaks 9:30 services PMI (This…

Notes from the Trading Desk #4

Pionex Trading Desk 3/13/2023 News & Events An absolutely crazy week in the markets.  SVB and Signature bank took over by FDIC Fed, Treasury, and FDIC will cover all depositor’s money secured or unsecured in the banks taken over Fed…

Notes from the Trading Desk #3

Pionex Trading Desk 3/7/2023 Fundamentals Powell is speaking to House & Senate at 10 am EST today and tomorrow. He is expected to give further clarity on the economic conditions of the US and how rate hikes are working. This…

Bitcoin Market Structure

Major event warning Previous ⭑⭑⭑ Silvergate discontinued SEN services which allowed institutions to move money to crypto exchanges 3-7 Tuesday ⭑⭑⭑ Fed Chairman Powell testifies to Senate 3-8 Wednesday ⭑⭑ Beige Book ⭑⭑⭑ Fed Chairman Powell testifies to House ⭑⭑⭑…